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AGF W vs Midtjylland W: prediction and stats

Kvindeligaen (W) · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time

58%Over 2.5 goals · our callKvindeligaen (W) average 58% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates AGF W vs Midtjylland W (Kvindeligaen (W), Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with AGF W 37%, the draw 26% and Midtjylland W 38%.

Our numbers

MarketOur chanceCall
Over 2.5 goals58%Over
Over 3.5 goals38%–
Both teams to score53%Yes
AGF W win37%
Draw26%
Midtjylland W win38%Pick
Goal in the 1st half78%
Goal in the 2nd half78%
Goal in both halves63%
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Season form

TeamGamesO2.5O3.5BTTS
AGF W1173%36%45%
Midtjylland W1250%33%50%

First and second half

This matchLeague
Goal in the 1st half78%76%
2+ goals in the 1st half41%42%
Goal in the 2nd half78%79%
2+ goals in the 2nd half44%43%
Goal in both halves63%64%
Half with most goals2nd 41%2nd 39%
Team (own games)1st half goal2nd half goalGames
AGF W74%72%50
Midtjylland W85%79%39

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 86% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

5 Sept 26Midtjylland W 2–1 AGF WO2.5
16 Nov 25Midtjylland W 2–3 AGF WO2.5
27 Sept 25AGF W 4–0 Midtjylland WO2.5

More: AGF W season stats · Midtjylland W season stats · Kvindeligaen (W) table and form

How we got 58% for over 2.5 goalsleague 58% → sides 63% / 55% → with last season 58% / 57% → mix 58% → head to head 60% → goal model 58% → 58%

League. Kvindeligaen (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 58% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. AGF W 8 of 11 (4 of 6 at home), Midtjylland W 6 of 12 (3 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 63% and 55%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 58% and 57%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 58%.

Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 60%.

Goal model. Expected goals 1.43 (AGF W) v 1.46 (Midtjylland W) give 55%; 30% weight: 58%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.