Toppserien (W) · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Vålerenga W vs Lyn W (Toppserien (W), Monday, 2 November 2026) 65% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Vålerenga W 68%, the draw 17% and Lyn W 15%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Vålerenga W win | 68% | Pick |
| Draw | 17% | |
| Lyn W win | 15% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 61% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vålerenga W | 20 | 75% | 45% | 55% |
| Lyn W | 20 | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 38% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 53% | 50% |
| Goal in both halves | 61% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 46% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vålerenga W | 82% | 82% | 50 |
| Lyn W | 60% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 74% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Vålerenga W season stats · Lyn W season stats · Toppserien (W) table and form
League. Toppserien (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 61% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Vålerenga W 15 of 20 (8 of 10 at home), Lyn W 12 of 20 (6 of 10 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 67% and 60%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 64% and 60%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 62%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 57% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 62%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.56 (Vålerenga W) v 1.12 (Lyn W) give 71%; 30% weight: 65%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.