Ligue 2 · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 19:45 UK time
CompactStats rates RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy (Ligue 2, Monday, 2 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with RED Star FC 93 30%, the draw 28% and Nancy 42%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – |
| RED Star FC 93 win | 30% | |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Nancy win | 42% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 44% | 33% | 56% |
| Nancy | 10 | 30% | 10% | 30% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 75% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 38% | 39% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 70% | 74% | 50 |
| Nancy | 64% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 63% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: RED Star FC 93 season stats · Nancy season stats · Ligue 2 table and form
League. Ligue 2 has had over 2.5 goals in 47% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. RED Star FC 93 4 of 9 (1 of 4 at home), Nancy 3 of 10 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 47% and 42%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 49% and 48%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 49%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.05 (RED Star FC 93) v 1.3 (Nancy) give 42%; 30% weight: 46%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.