1. Division · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Kongsvinger vs Stabaek (1. Division, Monday, 2 November 2026) 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with Kongsvinger 62%, the draw 18% and Stabaek 21%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Both teams to score | 68% | Yes |
| Kongsvinger win | 62% | Pick |
| Draw | 18% | |
| Stabaek win | 21% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 81% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 90% | |
| Goal in both halves | 76% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 27 | 81% | 59% | 78% |
| Stabaek | 27 | 70% | 56% | 56% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 81% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 44% | 43% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 90% | 88% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 64% | 60% |
| Goal in both halves | 76% | 69% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 88% | 92% | 50 |
| Stabaek | 84% | 94% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Kongsvinger season stats · Stabaek season stats · 1. Division table and form
League. 1. Division has had over 2.5 goals in 67% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Kongsvinger 22 of 27 (14 of 14 at home), Stabaek 19 of 27 (8 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 74% and 69%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 73% and 67%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 70%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 80% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 70%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.79 (Kongsvinger) v 1.62 (Stabaek) give 82%; 30% weight: 73%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.