Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 33% · bookmaker 29% · 3.00
Other side: Over 2.5 goals · ours 40% · bookmaker 41% · 2.25
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 81% · bookmaker 80% · 1.22
Other side: Both teams to score: Yes · ours 48% · bookmaker 48% · 1.95
Bookmaker chances have the margin removed. The model reads goals, not team news.
CompactStats rates Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente (Liga Profesional, Monday, 2 November 2026) 40% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with Defensa Y Justicia 41%, the draw 30% and Independiente 29%.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| This game | Defensa Y Justicia | Independiente | League | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 63% | 70% | 64% | 60% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 70% | 70% | 71% |
| Goal in both halves | 45% | 48% | 44% | 44% |
Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).
This game = our chance. Defensa Y Justicia: last 50 games, Independiente: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
More: Defensa Y Justicia season stats · Independiente season stats · Liga Profesional table and form
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 41% | 40% | -1 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 59% | 60% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 48% | 48% | +0 |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:05 UK time on Fri 30 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.