Botola Pro · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès (Botola Pro, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 37% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Widad Témara 17%, the draw 30% and Maghreb Fès 52%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Widad Témara win | 17% | |
| Draw | 30% | |
| Maghreb Fès win | 52% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | |
| Goal in both halves | 47% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widad Témara | 4 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Maghreb Fès | 4 | 75% | 0% | 75% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | 63% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 25% | 26% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 35% |
| Goal in both halves | 47% | 47% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Widad Témara | 75% | 50% | 4 |
| Maghreb Fès | 58% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Widad Témara season stats · Maghreb Fès season stats · Botola Pro table and form
League. Botola Pro has had over 2.5 goals in 38% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Widad Témara 1 of 4 (0 of 2 at home), Maghreb Fès 3 of 4 (2 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 36% and 43%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 36% and 35%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 36%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.6 (Widad Témara) v 1.28 (Maghreb Fès) give 29%; 30% weight: 34%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 37%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.