1. Division · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle (1. Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Vendsyssel FF 18%, the draw 26% and Vejle 56%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Vendsyssel FF win | 18% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Vejle win | 56% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 60% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vendsyssel FF | 12 | 58% | 33% | 58% |
| Vejle | 11 | 64% | 55% | 64% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 38% | 35% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 47% |
| Goal in both halves | 60% | 61% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vendsyssel FF | 74% | 74% | 50 |
| Vejle | 76% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 75% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Vendsyssel FF season stats · Vejle season stats · 1. Division table and form
League. 1. Division has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Vendsyssel FF 7 of 12 (2 of 5 at home), Vejle 7 of 11 (2 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 56% and 58%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 56%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.76 (Vendsyssel FF) v 1.55 (Vejle) give 41%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.