Superettan · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 12:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK (Superettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Varbergs BoIS FC 49%, the draw 25% and Ljungskile SK 26%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | Yes |
| Varbergs BoIS FC win | 49% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Ljungskile SK win | 26% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 60% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 27 | 63% | 37% | 63% |
| Ljungskile SK | 27 | 48% | 37% | 59% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 73% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 49% |
| Goal in both halves | 60% | 60% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 70% | 84% | 50 |
| Ljungskile SK | 67% | 83% | 30 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 71% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Varbergs BoIS FC season stats · Ljungskile SK season stats · Superettan table and form
League. Superettan has had over 2.5 goals in 55% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Varbergs BoIS FC 17 of 27 (8 of 14 at home), Ljungskile SK 13 of 27 (7 of 13 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 59% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 58% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 55%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.62 (Varbergs BoIS FC) v 1.11 (Ljungskile SK) give 51%; 30% weight: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.