Super Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Ružomberok vs Skalica (Super Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Ružomberok 44%, the draw 27% and Skalica 28%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Ružomberok win | 44% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Skalica win | 28% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | |
| Goal in both halves | 50% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ružomberok | 11 | 55% | 27% | 55% |
| Skalica | 11 | 45% | 36% | 64% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 41% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 74% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 50% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ružomberok | 66% | 76% | 50 |
| Skalica | 70% | 64% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 80% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Ružomberok season stats · Skalica season stats · Super Liga table and form
League. Super Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 58% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Ružomberok 6 of 11 (3 of 6 at home), Skalica 5 of 11 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 10 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.41 (Ružomberok) v 1.07 (Skalica) give 45%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.