Botola Pro · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 20:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca (Botola Pro, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 39% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Renaissance Berkane 36%, the draw 29% and Raja Casablanca 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | No |
| Renaissance Berkane win | 36% | Pick |
| Draw | 29% | |
| Raja Casablanca win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | |
| Goal in both halves | 46% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Berkane | 3 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Raja Casablanca | 3 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | 63% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 22% | 26% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 35% |
| Goal in both halves | 46% | 47% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Berkane | 54% | 80% | 50 |
| Raja Casablanca | 62% | 72% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Renaissance Berkane season stats · Raja Casablanca season stats · Botola Pro table and form
League. Botola Pro has had over 2.5 goals in 38% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Renaissance Berkane 1 of 3 (1 of 1 at home), Raja Casablanca 0 of 3 (0 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 38% and 34%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 41% and 30%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 36%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 17% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 35%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.15 (Renaissance Berkane) v 1.14 (Raja Casablanca) give 40%; 30% weight: 37%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 39%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.