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Ranheim vs Sogndal: prediction and stats

1. Division · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:30 UK time

76%Over 2.5 goals · our call1. Division average 67% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates Ranheim vs Sogndal (1. Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with Ranheim 57%, the draw 18% and Sogndal 25%.

Our numbers

Market	Our chance	Call
Over 2.5 goals	76%	Over
Over 3.5 goals	55%	Over
Both teams to score	71%	Yes
Ranheim win	57%	Pick
Draw	18%
Sogndal win	25%
Goal in the 1st half	79%
Goal in the 2nd half	89%
Goal in both halves	74%

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Season form

Team	Games	O2.5	O3.5	BTTS
Ranheim	28	89%	82%	86%
Sogndal	27	74%	56%	67%

First and second half

	This match	League
Goal in the 1st half	79%	77%
2+ goals in the 1st half	47%	43%
Goal in the 2nd half	89%	88%
2+ goals in the 2nd half	61%	60%
Goal in both halves	74%	69%
Half with most goals	2nd 46%	2nd 47%

Team (own games)	1st half goal	2nd half goal	Games
Ranheim	82%	92%	50
Sogndal	82%	90%	50

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

26 Jul 26Sogndal 3–2 RanheimO2.5

8 Nov 25Sogndal 0–3 RanheimO2.5

21 Apr 25Ranheim 1–2 SogndalO2.5

25 Aug 24Sogndal 0–2 RanheimU2.5

20 Jul 24Ranheim 3–0 SogndalO2.5

2 Sept 23Sogndal 1–2 RanheimO2.5

More: Ranheim season stats · Sogndal season stats · 1. Division table and form

How we got 76% for over 2.5 goalsleague 67% → sides 79% / 71% → with last season 76% / 69% → mix 71% → head to head 72% → goal model 76% → 76%

League. 1. Division has had over 2.5 goals in 67% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. Ranheim 25 of 28 (13 of 14 at home), Sogndal 20 of 27 (12 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 79% and 71%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 76% and 69%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 71%.

Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 80% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 72%.

Goal model. Expected goals 2.82 (Ranheim) v 1.92 (Sogndal) give 85%; 30% weight: 76%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.