A-League (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 10:45 UK time
CompactStats rates Perth Glory FC W vs Wellington Phoenix W (A-League (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Perth Glory FC W 31%, the draw 30% and Wellington Phoenix W 39%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Perth Glory FC W win | 31% | |
| Draw | 30% | Pick |
| Wellington Phoenix W win | 39% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory FC W | 1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wellington Phoenix W | 1 | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 42% | 44% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 41% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 54% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory FC W | 74% | 78% | 50 |
| Wellington Phoenix W | 68% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined. Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Perth Glory FC W season stats · Wellington Phoenix W season stats · A-League (W) table and form
League. A-League (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 58% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Perth Glory FC W 0 of 1, Wellington Phoenix W 1 of 1. Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 56% and 60%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 53% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 55%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 55%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.01 (Perth Glory FC W) v 1.18 (Wellington Phoenix W) give 37%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.