Liga Pro · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 21:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Orense SC 60%, the draw 24% and Tecnico Universitario 16%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | Yes |
| Orense SC win | 60% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Tecnico Universitario win | 16% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 34 | 59% | 18% | 62% |
| Tecnico Universitario | 33 | 45% | 15% | 42% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 37% | 38% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 70% | 76% | 50 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 70% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 65% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Orense SC season stats · Tecnico Universitario season stats · Liga Pro table and form
League. Liga Pro has had over 2.5 goals in 44% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Orense SC 20 of 34 (10 of 17 at home), Tecnico Universitario 15 of 33 (7 of 17 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 53% and 45%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 52% and 44%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 47%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 47%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.72 (Orense SC) v 0.75 (Tecnico Universitario) give 45%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.