1. SNL · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje (1. SNL, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Mura 43%, the draw 28% and Brinje-Grosuplje 29%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| Mura win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje win | 29% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 84% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 68% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 12 | 50% | 42% | 58% |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 12 | 75% | 25% | 67% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 84% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 54% | 53% |
| Goal in both halves | 68% | 69% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 82% | 68% | 50 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 92% | 100% | 12 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 71% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Mura season stats · Brinje-Grosuplje season stats · 1. SNL table and form
League. 1. SNL has had over 2.5 goals in 62% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Mura 6 of 12 (2 of 6 at home), Brinje-Grosuplje 9 of 12 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 58% and 67%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 58% and 67%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 62%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.37 (Mura) v 1.06 (Brinje-Grosuplje) give 44%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.