Czech Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 12:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové (Czech Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Mlada Boleslav 48%, the draw 27% and Hradec Králové 26%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Mlada Boleslav win | 48% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Hradec Králové win | 26% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 58% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 55% | 27% | 36% |
| Hradec Králové | 11 | 45% | 9% | 45% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 42% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 58% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 41% | 2nd 38% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 78% | 78% | 50 |
| Hradec Králové | 66% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Mlada Boleslav season stats · Hradec Králové season stats · Czech Liga table and form
League. Czech Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Mlada Boleslav 6 of 11 (2 of 5 at home), Hradec Králové 5 of 11 (1 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 51% and 49%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 54% and 49%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 67% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 52%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.49 (Mlada Boleslav) v 1.02 (Hradec Králové) give 46%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.