1. Division · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Lyn vs Raufoss (1. Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 70% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with Lyn 57%, the draw 19% and Raufoss 24%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | Over |
| Both teams to score | 65% | Yes |
| Lyn win | 57% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Raufoss win | 24% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 89% | |
| Goal in both halves | 69% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 46% | 43% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 89% | 88% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 60% | 60% |
| Goal in both halves | 69% | 69% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Lyn season stats · Raufoss season stats · 1. Division table and form
League. 1. Division has had over 2.5 goals in 67% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Lyn 18 of 27 (10 of 14 at home), Raufoss 21 of 28 (12 of 14 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 67% and 71%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 66% and 70%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 67%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 67%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.47 (Lyn) v 1.57 (Raufoss) give 77%; 30% weight: 70%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.