Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 30% · bookmaker 24% · 3.50
Other side: Over 2.5 goals · ours 44% · bookmaker 49% · 1.95
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 78% · bookmaker 73% · 1.33
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours 49% · bookmaker 46% · 2.00
Bookmaker chances have the margin removed. The model reads goals, not team news.
CompactStats rates Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud (Primera Division, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 44% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Liverpool Montevideo 47%, the draw 28% and Juventud 25%.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| This game | Liverpool Montevideo | Juventud | League | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 62% | 54% | 68% | 63% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 68% | 68% | 75% |
| Goal in both halves | 44% | 38% | 46% | 47% |
Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).
This game = our chance. Liverpool Montevideo: last 50 games, Juventud: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
More: Liverpool Montevideo season stats · Juventud season stats · Primera Division table and form
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 49% | 44% | -5 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 51% | 56% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 54% | 51% | -3 |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:04 UK time on Thu 29 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.