Kvindeligaen (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 10:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Køge W vs Fortuna Hjørring W (Kvindeligaen (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Køge W 47%, the draw 21% and Fortuna Hjørring W 31%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | Yes |
| Køge W win | 47% | Pick |
| Draw | 21% | |
| Fortuna Hjørring W win | 31% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | |
| Goal in both halves | 61% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Køge W | 11 | 82% | 45% | 55% |
| Fortuna Hjørring W | 11 | 73% | 36% | 45% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 42% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 41% | 43% |
| Goal in both halves | 61% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 41% | 2nd 39% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Køge W | 74% | 80% | 50 |
| Fortuna Hjørring W | 66% | 80% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 87% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Køge W season stats · Fortuna Hjørring W season stats · Kvindeligaen (W) table and form
League. Kvindeligaen (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 58% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Køge W 9 of 11 (5 of 6 at home), Fortuna Hjørring W 8 of 11 (5 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 65% and 63%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 59% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 57%.
Head to head. 12 meetings in 3 years, 33% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 56%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.13 (Køge W) v 1.72 (Fortuna Hjørring W) give 74%; 30% weight: 61%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.