Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 14% · bookmaker 10% · 7.00
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours 34% · bookmaker 29% · 3.10
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 55% · bookmaker 50% · 1.83
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours 36% · bookmaker 29% · 3.00
Bookmaker chances have the margin removed. The model reads goals, not team news.
CompactStats rates Emmen vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with Emmen 59%, the draw 20% and Den Bosch 20%.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| This game | Emmen | Den Bosch | League | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 78% | 76% | 80% | 78% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | 88% | 84% | 85% |
| Goal in both halves | 65% | 66% | 64% | 66% |
Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 48%).
This game = our chance. Emmen: last 50 games, Den Bosch: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
More: Emmen season stats · Den Bosch season stats · Eerste Divisie table and form
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 71% | 66% | -5 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 29% | 34% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 1.36 | 71% | 64% | -6 |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:04 UK time on Thu 29 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.