Liga Pro · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 21:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 36% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with Delfin SC 36%, the draw 34% and Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | No |
| Delfin SC win | 36% | Pick |
| Draw | 34% | |
| Deportivo Cuenca win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 45% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 34 | 29% | 18% | 38% |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 29% | 12% | 44% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 61% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 26% | 31% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 35% | 38% |
| Goal in both halves | 45% | 51% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 50% | 78% | 50 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 56% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 65% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Delfin SC season stats · Deportivo Cuenca season stats · Liga Pro table and form
League. Liga Pro has had over 2.5 goals in 44% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Delfin SC 10 of 34 (4 of 17 at home), Deportivo Cuenca 10 of 34 (3 of 17 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 35% and 35%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 36% and 36%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 38%.
Head to head. 9 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 36%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.92 (Delfin SC) v 0.81 (Deportivo Cuenca) give 25%; 30% weight: 33%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 36%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.