Botola Pro · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time
CompactStats rates CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat (Botola Pro, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 41% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with CODM Meknès 30%, the draw 32% and FAR Rabat 38%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | No |
| CODM Meknès win | 30% | |
| Draw | 32% | |
| FAR Rabat win | 38% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | |
| Goal in both halves | 45% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CODM Meknès | 4 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| FAR Rabat | 2 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | 63% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 25% | 26% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 73% | 72% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 42% | 35% |
| Goal in both halves | 45% | 47% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 41% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| CODM Meknès | 46% | 74% | 50 |
| FAR Rabat | 58% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 67% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: CODM Meknès season stats · FAR Rabat season stats · Botola Pro table and form
League. Botola Pro has had over 2.5 goals in 38% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. CODM Meknès 1 of 4 (0 of 2 at home), FAR Rabat 1 of 2 (1 of 1 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 36% and 39%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 36% and 42%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 39%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 42%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.89 (CODM Meknès) v 1.04 (FAR Rabat) give 30%; 30% weight: 38%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 41%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.