Superliga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Brondby vs Aarhus (Superliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with Brondby 38%, the draw 24% and Aarhus 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | Yes |
| Brondby win | 38% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Aarhus win | 37% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 42% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 49% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 59% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 41% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 75% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Brondby season stats · Aarhus season stats · Superliga table and form
League. Superliga has had over 2.5 goals in 60% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Brondby 8 of 12 (4 of 6 at home), Aarhus 7 of 11 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 62% and 61%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 56% and 58%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 57%.
Head to head. 12 meetings in 3 years, 42% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 57%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.58 (Brondby) v 1.55 (Aarhus) give 60%; 30% weight: 58%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.