Czech Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 45% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with Bohemians 1905 25%, the draw 33% and Sparta Praha 42%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | No |
| Bohemians 1905 win | 25% | |
| Draw | 33% | |
| Sparta Praha win | 42% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 45% | 27% | 45% |
| Sparta Praha | 11 | 64% | 36% | 36% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 73% | 73% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 31% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 42% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 57% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 41% | 2nd 38% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 76% | 72% | 50 |
| Sparta Praha | 70% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 77% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Bohemians 1905 season stats · Sparta Praha season stats · Czech Liga table and form
League. Czech Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Bohemians 1905 5 of 11 (0 of 5 at home), Sparta Praha 7 of 11 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 46% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.72 (Bohemians 1905) v 1.05 (Sparta Praha) give 26%; 30% weight: 43%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 45%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.