Pro League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:35 UK time
CompactStats rates Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC (Pro League, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Al-Jazira 59%, the draw 23% and Baniyas SC 18%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Al-Jazira win | 59% | Pick |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Baniyas SC win | 18% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 57% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jazira | 6 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| Baniyas SC | 6 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 39% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 40% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 57% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jazira | 82% | 70% | 50 |
| Baniyas SC | 80% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 79% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Al-Jazira season stats · Baniyas SC season stats · Pro League table and form
League. Pro League has had over 2.5 goals in 53% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Al-Jazira 3 of 6 (1 of 2 at home), Baniyas SC 3 of 6 (1 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 52% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 55% and 53%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.88 (Al-Jazira) v 0.93 (Baniyas SC) give 53%; 30% weight: 53%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 54%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.