Scottish Cup · Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · 19:45 UK time
CompactStats rates Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde (Scottish Cup, Tuesday, 27 October 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Penicuik Athletic 42%, the draw 26% and Clyde 32%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – |
| Penicuik Athletic win | 42% | Pick |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Clyde win | 32% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | |
| Goal in both halves | 63% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penicuik Athletic | 0 | — | — | — |
| Clyde | 0 | — | — | — |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 74% | 74% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 85% | 84% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 43% |
| Goal in both halves | 63% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penicuik Athletic | 100% | 100% | 3 |
| Clyde | 70% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined. Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Clyde season stats · Scottish Cup fixtures
League. Scottish Cup has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Penicuik Athletic 0 of 0, Clyde 0 of 0. Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 51% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.45 (Penicuik Athletic) v 1.24 (Clyde) give 50%; 30% weight: 51%.
Season opener. Openers run about 2.5 points under the league norm: 48%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.