Hillerød have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 11 league games this season (27%) — 40% at home, 17% away. They've scored 13 and conceded 17, so their matches average 2.73 goals, and both teams have scored in 55% of them. Record: 2-3-6 in the 1. Division, where the division average is 53% over 2.5.
Full Hillerød season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 27% over 2.5 against a league average of 53%, 26 points below it. That ranks them 12th of 12 for goals in their matches, 9th for scoring (1.18 a game) and 5th for goals conceded (1.55). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in 11 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 11 matches with half-time data, 50% of the goals in their games have come after the break (15 before, 15 after). Hillerød themselves have scored 7 in first halves and 6 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 27% | 27% | 55% |
| Home | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| Away | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17% | 17% | 50% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–1 (3 times). Biggest win: 3–1 at home to Hobro (Sun 30 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 at home to FC Fredericia. 2 of their 11 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 5 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 32 league games last season Hillerød's matches went over 2.5 goals 59% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 27%, down 32 points on 11 games.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.