Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Taça de Portugal · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Estrela vs Portimonense: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

89%Estrela, league games

75%Portimonense, league games

71%league

60%Over 2.5 goals· likely

67%Estrela, league games

25%Portimonense, league games

50%league

33%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

56%Estrela, league games

0%Portimonense, league games

27%league

55%Both teams to score: No· likely

33%Estrela, league games

75%Portimonense, league games

53%league

50%Estrela win· close call

50%Estrela

25%Draw

24%Portimonense

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Estrela vs Portimonense (Taça de Portugal, Saturday, 21 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with Estrela 50%, the draw 25% and Portimonense 24%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Estrela

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (9)67%

Home (5)60%

Away (4)75%

Home games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.2	1.8

Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Portimonense

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)25%

Home (3)0%

Away (5)40%

Away games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.2

Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Estrela

24 OctHCasa Pia PrimL0–2

17 OctAFazendense TaçaW1–2

11 OctAArouca PrimL1–0

20 SeptHAcademico Viseu PrimL0–2

14 SeptARio Ave PrimD3–3

10 SeptHSC Braga PrimW2–1

Portimonense

24 OctASporting CP B Liga L3–0

17 OctAFlorgrade TaçaW1–2

10 OctAAmarante Liga W1–2

19 SeptACastro Daire TaçaW0–1

12 SeptHTondela Liga L0–2

6 SeptAUnião de Leiria Liga L1–0

First and second half

	This game	Estrela	Portimonense	League
Goal in the 1st half	68%	70%	66%	68%
Goal in the 2nd half	79%	80%	88%	77%
Goal in both halves	56%	60%	56%	53%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Estrela: last 50 games, Portimonense: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

9 Feb 24Estrela 3–0 PortimonenseO2.5

2 Sept 23Portimonense 1–1 EstrelaU2.5

Things worth knowing

Estrela return after about 4 weeks off; form streaks reset over long breaks.
Portimonense return after about 4 weeks off.

More: Estrela season stats · Portimonense season stats · Taça de Portugal and every competition we cover

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.