Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Taça de Portugal · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

AVS vs Tondela: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

73%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

75%AVS, league games

75%Tondela, league games

67%league

Tondela Over 1.5 in 4 straight away

52%Under 2.5 goals· close call

50%AVS, league games

63%Tondela, league games

55%league

20%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

13%AVS, league games

0%Tondela, league games

23%league

58%Both teams to score: No· likely

38%AVS, league games

75%Tondela, league games

54%league

43%AVS win· close call

43%AVS

30%Draw

27%Tondela

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates AVS vs Tondela (Taça de Portugal, Saturday, 21 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with AVS 43%, the draw 30% and Tondela 27%.

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Form this season

AVS

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)50%

Home (4)25%

Away (4)75%

Home games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.0	0.5

Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 25%

Tondela

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)38%

Home (4)50%

Away (4)25%

Away games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.3

Won 1 · drew 0 · lost 3 · both scored in 25%

Latest results

AVS

25 OctHTondela Liga W2–1

17 OctHMoreirense TaçaW1–0

9 OctAPenafiel Liga W1–2

20 SeptASintrense TaçaW0–2

13 SeptHFarense Liga D0–0

7 SeptALusitânia Lourosa Liga L2–1

Tondela

25 OctAAVS Liga L2–1

18 OctHAlverca TaçaD0–0

10 OctHTorreense Liga W1–0

19 SeptAImortal Albufeira TaçaW1–5

12 SeptAPortimonense Liga W0–2

5 SeptHFC Porto B Liga W3–0

First and second half

	This game	AVS	Tondela	League
Goal in the 1st half	69%	72%	74%	66%
Goal in the 2nd half	75%	72%	76%	75%
Goal in both halves	53%	52%	56%	51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. AVS: last 50 games, Tondela: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Oct 26AVS 2–1 TondelaO2.5

19 May 24AVS 0–1 TondelaU2.5

14 Jan 24Tondela 3–2 AVSO2.5

More: AVS season stats · Tondela season stats · Taça de Portugal and every competition we cover

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.