Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Copa Sudamericana · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Atletico-MG vs Boca Juniors: prediction and stats

72%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
67%Atletico-MG, league games
74%Boca Juniors, league games
69%league
54%Under 2.5 goals· close call
52%Atletico-MG, league games
61%Boca Juniors, league games
58%league
24%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
30%Atletico-MG, league games
16%Boca Juniors, league games
20%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
48%Atletico-MG, league games
52%Boca Juniors, league games
48%league
41%Boca Juniors win· close call
31%Atletico-MG
28%Draw
41%Boca Juniors

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Atletico-MG vs Boca Juniors (Copa Sudamericana, Saturday, 21 November 2026) 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Atletico-MG 31%, the draw 28% and Boca Juniors 41%.

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Form this season

Atletico-MG

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (33)48%
Home (17)53%
Away (16)44%
Home games (17)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.1
Won 10 · drew 5 · lost 2 · both scored in 59%

Boca Juniors

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (31)39%
Home (15)20%
Away (16)56%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.1
Won 7 · drew 6 · lost 3 · both scored in 56%

Latest results

Atletico-MG

29 OctHCruzeiro SerAL0–1
26 OctAFlamengo SerAL3–2
21 OctAAtletico Torque SudamL2–0
17 OctHCoritiba SerAW1–0
14 OctHAtletico Torque SudamW3–0
11 OctHSantos SerAW2–1

Boca Juniors

25 OctAIndependiente LigaProW0–1
21 OctAVasco DA Gama SudamW1–3
17 OctHTalleres Cordoba LigaProW2–1
14 OctHVasco DA Gama SudamL0–1
9 OctAInstituto Cordoba LigaProD2–2
3 OctHUnion Santa Fe LigaProW3–0

First and second half

This gameAtletico-MGBoca JuniorsLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%68%62%66%
Goal in the 2nd half75%78%74%74%
Goal in both halves47%50%42%50%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Atletico-MG: last 50 games, Boca Juniors: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

More: Copa Sudamericana and every competition we cover

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.