Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Women's Champions League · Thursday, 19 November 2026 · 20:00 UK

Arsenal W vs Lyon W: prediction and stats

81%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
57%Arsenal W, league games
100%Lyon W, league games
77%league
Lyon W Over 1.5 in 8 straight away
59%Over 2.5 goals· likely
29%Arsenal W, league games
100%Lyon W, league games
57%league
Lyon W Over 2.5 in 5 straight away
39%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
14%Arsenal W, league games
100%Lyon W, league games
33%league
Lyon W Over 3.5 in 5 straight away
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
57%Arsenal W, league games
50%Lyon W, league games
51%league
51%Lyon W win· close call
24%Arsenal W
25%Draw
51%Lyon W

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Arsenal W vs Lyon W (Women's Champions League, Thursday, 19 November 2026) 59% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Arsenal W 24%, the draw 25% and Lyon W 51%.

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Form this season

Arsenal W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (7)29%
Home (3)0%
Away (4)50%
Home games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.70.7
Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 0 · both scored in 67%

Lyon W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (6)100%
Home (3)100%
Away (3)100%
Away games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game6.30.7
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 0 · both scored in 67%

Latest results

Arsenal W

28 OctHSL Benfica W UWCLW3–0
24 OctATottenham Hotspur W WSLW1–2
17 OctHBirmingham City W WSLD1–1
4 OctAManchester City W WSLL4–2
30 SeptAParis FC W UWCLD2–2
27 SeptAChelsea W WSLL1–0

Lyon W

28 OctHInter Milano W UWCLW6–0
24 OctHMarseille W D1 FemW5–0
17 OctAParis Saint Germain W D1 FemW0–4
3 OctHToulouse W D1 FemW5–0
30 SeptHChelsea W UWCLD0–0
23 SeptAServette Chênois W UWCLW0–8

First and second half

This gameArsenal WLyon WLeague
Goal in the 1st half79%76%88%76%
Goal in the 2nd half79%80%84%77%
Goal in both halves66%64%76%59%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Arsenal W: last 50 games, Lyon W: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

2 May 26Lyon W 3–1 Arsenal WO2.5
26 Apr 26Arsenal W 2–1 Lyon WO2.5
7 Oct 25Arsenal W 1–2 Lyon WO2.5
27 Apr 25Lyon W 1–4 Arsenal WO2.5
19 Apr 25Arsenal W 1–2 Lyon WO2.5
15 Dec 22Arsenal W 0–1 Lyon WU2.5

More: Women's Champions League fixtures

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.