Ratings updated 22:41 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Women's Champions League · Wednesday, 18 November 2026 · 20:00 UK

Chelsea W vs Paris Saint Germain W: prediction and stats

80%Over 1.5 goals· our call
86%Chelsea W, league games
67%Paris Saint Germain W, league games
77%league
Paris Saint Germain W Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
57%Over 2.5 goals· our call
57%Chelsea W, league games
33%Paris Saint Germain W, league games
57%league
35%Over 3.5 goals· no pick: under our 45% bar
43%Chelsea W, league games
33%Paris Saint Germain W, league games
33%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· our call
43%Chelsea W, league games
17%Paris Saint Germain W, league games
51%league
37%Chelsea W win· most likely result
37%Chelsea W
27%Draw
36%Paris Saint Germain W

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Chelsea W vs Paris Saint Germain W (Women's Champions League, Wednesday, 18 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Chelsea W 37%, the draw 27% and Paris Saint Germain W 36%.

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Form this season

Chelsea W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (7)57%
Home (4)25%
Away (3)100%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.50.8
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 50%

Paris Saint Germain W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (6)33%
Home (4)25%
Away (2)50%
Away games (2)
Last 2●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.50.5
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 0 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Chelsea W

28 OctHRoma W UWCLW2–0
25 OctACrystal Palace W WSLW1–3
18 OctHTottenham Hotspur W WSLW6–2
4 OctAWest Ham W WSLW0–3
30 SeptALyon W UWCLD0–0
27 SeptHArsenal W WSLW1–0

Paris Saint Germain W

23 OctHMontpellier W D1 FemW1–0
17 OctHLyon W D1 FemL0–4
4 OctAFC Fleury 91 W D1 FemW1–3
1 OctHOH Leuven W UWCLW5–0
22 SeptAReal Madrid W UWCLD1–1
18 SeptHNantes W D1 FemW1–0

First and second half

This gameChelsea WParis Saint Germain WLeague
Goal in the 1st half77%82%74%76%
Goal in the 2nd half76%74%76%77%
Goal in both halves59%58%58%60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Chelsea W: last 50 games, Paris Saint Germain W: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Dec 22Chelsea W 3–0 Paris Saint Germain WO2.5
20 Oct 22Paris Saint Germain W 0–1 Chelsea WU2.5

More: Women's Champions League fixtures

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.