Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:15 UK

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
88%Stade Brestois 29, league games
88%Lyon, league games
73%league
Lyon Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
75%Stade Brestois 29, league games
50%Lyon, league games
57%league
33%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
38%Stade Brestois 29, league games
25%Lyon, league games
36%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
88%Stade Brestois 29, league games
50%Lyon, league games
54%league
40%Stade Brestois 29 win· close call
40%Stade Brestois 29
26%Draw
33%Lyon

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon (Ligue 1, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Stade Brestois 29 40%, the draw 26% and Lyon 33%.

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Form this season

Stade Brestois 29

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)75%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)75%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.01.5
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 75%

Lyon

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)50%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)25%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.0
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 25%

Latest results

Stade Brestois 29

23 OctHNice Ligue1L1–2
17 OctALille Ligue1D1–1
10 OctHAngers Ligue1W5–1
20 SeptAAuxerre Ligue1L2–1
13 SeptHParis Saint Germain Ligue1L0–1
5 SeptALe Havre Ligue1W1–2

Lyon

26 OctAParis Saint Germain Ligue1L2–0
22 OctA1899 Hoffenheim UELL3–0
18 OctHNice Ligue1W2–1
15 OctHCrystal Palace UELW3–2
9 OctALens Ligue1L2–1
19 SeptHRennes Ligue1W4–0

First and second half

This gameStade Brestois 29LyonLeague
Goal in the 1st half72%82%70%70%
Goal in the 2nd half78%80%74%79%
Goal in both halves59%66%54%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Stade Brestois 29: last 50 games, Lyon: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

18 Jan 26Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29O2.5
2 Nov 25Stade Brestois 29 0–0 LyonU2.5
2 Mar 25Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29O2.5
11 Jan 25Stade Brestois 29 2–1 LyonO2.5
14 Apr 24Lyon 4–3 Stade Brestois 29O2.5
23 Sept 23Stade Brestois 29 1–0 LyonU2.5

More: Stade Brestois 29 season stats · Lyon season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.