Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Rennes vs Lille: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
89%Rennes, league games
67%Lille, league games
73%league
Rennes Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Lille Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
89%Rennes, league games
22%Lille, league games
57%league
Rennes Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
Rennes Over 2.5 in 7 consecutive matches (all venues)
34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
67%Rennes, league games
11%Lille, league games
36%league
54%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
67%Rennes, league games
44%Lille, league games
54%league
43%Rennes win· close call
43%Rennes
26%Draw
31%Lille

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Rennes 43%, the draw 26% and Lille 31%.

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Form this season

Rennes

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)89%
Home (5)80%
Away (4)100%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.61.0
Won 4 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 60%

Lille

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)22%
Home (5)20%
Away (4)25%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.30.8
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Rennes

30 OctANice Ligue1L5–2
25 OctHStrasbourg Ligue1W3–0
22 OctAJuventus UELD2–2
18 OctAParis FC Ligue1L4–3
15 OctHOFI UELW2–1
11 OctHAuxerre Ligue1W4–1

Lille

30 OctHLens Ligue1W1–0
25 OctAMonaco Ligue1D1–1
21 OctHGalatasaray UCLL2–4
17 OctHStade Brestois 29 Ligue1D1–1
13 OctAArsenal UCLL3–0
10 OctHLe Havre Ligue1W1–0

First and second half

This gameRennesLilleLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%78%66%70%
Goal in the 2nd half80%86%76%79%
Goal in both halves57%70%46%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 47% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Rennes: last 50 games, Lille: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

15 Mar 26Rennes 1–2 LilleO2.5
3 Jan 26Lille 0–2 RennesU2.5
16 Feb 25Rennes 0–2 LilleU2.5
24 Nov 24Lille 1–0 RennesU2.5
10 Mar 24Lille 2–2 RennesO2.5
16 Sept 23Rennes 2–2 LilleO2.5

More: Rennes season stats · Lille season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.