Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:15 UK

Le Mans vs Monaco: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Le Mans, league games
75%Monaco, league games
73%league
Le Mans Over 1.5 in 5 straight at home
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
75%Le Mans, league games
38%Monaco, league games
57%league
Le Mans Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home
37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
50%Le Mans, league games
13%Monaco, league games
36%league
57%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
88%Le Mans, league games
63%Monaco, league games
54%league
46%Monaco win· close call
29%Le Mans
25%Draw
46%Monaco

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Le Mans vs Monaco (Ligue 1, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Le Mans 29%, the draw 25% and Monaco 46%.

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Form this season

Le Mans

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)75%
Home (4)100%
Away (4)50%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.52.0
Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 75%

Monaco

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)38%
Home (4)50%
Away (4)25%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.00.8
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Le Mans

25 OctAAuxerre Ligue1D1–1
16 OctHToulouse Ligue1L0–3
10 OctAParis Saint Germain Ligue1L3–1
19 SeptHLorient Ligue1W2–1
13 SeptHLens Ligue1D2–2
5 SeptANice Ligue1D1–1

Monaco

25 OctHLille Ligue1D1–1
22 OctHSC Freiburg UECLW3–0
18 OctALorient Ligue1L1–0
15 OctACSKA Sofia UECLW1–2
10 OctHToulouse Ligue1D2–2
18 SeptHLens Ligue1W2–1

First and second half

This gameLe MansMonacoLeague
Goal in the 1st half68%64%68%70%
Goal in the 2nd half79%76%82%79%
Goal in both halves55%50%58%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Le Mans: last 50 games, Monaco: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

More: Le Mans season stats · Monaco season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.