Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga Pro · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
59%Aucas, league games
85%Independiente del Valle, league games
70%league
Aucas Over 1.5 in 4 straight at home
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
38%Aucas, league games
67%Independiente del Valle, league games
45%league
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
18%Aucas, league games
45%Independiente del Valle, league games
24%league
54%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
41%Aucas, league games
55%Independiente del Valle, league games
51%league
64%Independiente del Valle win· likely
17%Aucas
20%Draw
64%Independiente del Valle

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Aucas vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Aucas 17%, the draw 20% and Independiente del Valle 64%.

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Form this season

Aucas

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (34)38%
Home (18)44%
Away (16)31%
Home games (18)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.21.3
Won 8 · drew 3 · lost 7 · both scored in 44%

Independiente del Valle

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (33)67%
Home (17)65%
Away (16)69%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.31.2
Won 13 · drew 0 · lost 3 · both scored in 56%

Latest results

Aucas

25 OctHBarcelona SC LigProL0–4
17 OctHLDU de Quito LigProD1–1
10 OctAIndependiente del Valle LigProL2–1
19 SeptHMacara LigProL1–2
12 SeptAManta FC LigProD0–0
7 SeptHBarcelona SC LigProD1–1

Independiente del Valle

23 OctHUniversidad Catolica LigProD0–0
17 OctAMacara LigProL1–0
10 OctHAucas LigProW2–1
18 SeptAFlamengo LibtdrsD1–1
14 SeptALibertad LigProW2–3
11 SeptHFlamengo LibtdrsL0–2

First and second half

This gameAucasIndependiente del ValleLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%62%68%68%
Goal in the 2nd half76%78%78%75%
Goal in both halves52%50%54%51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Aucas: last 50 games, Independiente del Valle: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

10 Oct 26Independiente del Valle 2–1 AucasO2.5
16 Jul 26Aucas 0–3 Independiente del ValleO2.5
14 Mar 26Independiente del Valle 2–2 AucasO2.5
19 Jul 25Independiente del Valle 2–1 AucasO2.5
28 Mar 25Aucas 1–2 Independiente del ValleO2.5
1 Sept 24Aucas 0–2 Independiente del ValleU2.5

More: Aucas season stats · Independiente del Valle season stats · Liga Pro table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.