Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Liga de Expansión · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Piratas vs Cancún: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

80%Piratas, league games

87%Cancún, league games

79%league

Piratas Over 1.5 in 5 straight at home

Cancún Over 1.5 in 5 straight away

56%Over 2.5 goals· likely

53%Piratas, league games

53%Cancún, league games

57%league

Cancún Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

27%Piratas, league games

40%Cancún, league games

37%league

Cancún Over 3.5 in 3 straight away

56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

40%Piratas, league games

47%Cancún, league games

58%league

41%Piratas win· close call

41%Piratas

25%Draw

33%Cancún

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Piratas vs Cancún (Liga de Expansión, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Piratas 41%, the draw 25% and Cancún 33%.

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Form this season

Piratas

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)53%

Home (7)57%

Away (8)50%

Home games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.1	0.6

Won 5 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 43%

Cancún

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)53%

Home (8)38%

Away (7)71%

Away games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.7	1.9

Won 2 · drew 3 · lost 2 · both scored in 71%

Latest results

Piratas

1 NovHTapatío LigExpD1–1

25 OctADorados LigExpW0–5

18 OctHTepatitlán LigExpW3–0

10 OctATlaxcala LigExpL4–2

4 OctHAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpW4–0

25 SeptAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpL3–0

Cancún

1 NovHCDS Tampico Madero LigExpW2–0

24 OctATepatitlán LigExpW0–4

18 OctHVenados FC LigExpD1–1

11 OctAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpD2–2

4 OctHTapatío LigExpW1–0

26 SeptATlaxcala LigExpL4–1

First and second half

	This game	Piratas	Cancún	League
Goal in the 1st half	74%	73%	74%	75%
Goal in the 2nd half	78%	67%	76%	81%
Goal in both halves	58%	47%	54%	62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Piratas: last 15 games, Cancún: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Aug 26Piratas 0–1 CancúnU2.5

More: Piratas season stats · Cancún season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.