Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 19:45 UK

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
89%Paris Saint Germain, league games
75%Estac Troyes, league games
73%league
Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5 in 6 straight at home
57%Over 2.5 goals· likely
78%Paris Saint Germain, league games
38%Estac Troyes, league games
57%league
35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
56%Paris Saint Germain, league games
25%Estac Troyes, league games
37%league
52%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
78%Paris Saint Germain, league games
38%Estac Troyes, league games
54%league
72%Paris Saint Germain win· very likely
72%Paris Saint Germain
18%Draw
10%Estac Troyes

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Paris Saint Germain 72%, the draw 18% and Estac Troyes 10%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Paris Saint Germain

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)78%
Home (3)67%
Away (6)83%
Home games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.01.0
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 67%

Estac Troyes

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)38%
Home (4)50%
Away (4)25%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.51.3
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 25%

Latest results

Paris Saint Germain

30 OctALe Havre Ligue1W1–5
26 OctHLyon Ligue1W2–0
20 OctHBarcelona UCLW4–2
17 OctAStrasbourg Ligue1W1–3
14 OctAManchester City UCLW2–4
10 OctHLe Mans Ligue1W3–1

Estac Troyes

25 OctAToulouse Ligue1D0–0
17 OctHLens Ligue1L1–3
11 OctHMarseille Ligue1L0–2
19 SeptAAngers Ligue1L2–0
13 SeptALille Ligue1L2–0
6 SeptHStrasbourg Ligue1L2–6

First and second half

This gameParis Saint GermainEstac TroyesLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%80%66%70%
Goal in the 2nd half81%92%80%79%
Goal in both halves62%74%56%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Paris Saint Germain: last 50 games, Estac Troyes: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

7 May 23Estac Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint GermainO2.5
29 Oct 22Paris Saint Germain 4–3 Estac TroyesO2.5
8 May 22Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Estac TroyesO2.5
7 Aug 21Estac Troyes 1–2 Paris Saint GermainO2.5

More: Paris Saint Germain season stats · Estac Troyes season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.