Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga de Expansión · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Leones Negros UDG vs Durango: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Leones Negros UDG, league games
60%Durango, league games
79%league
Leones Negros UDG Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
53%Over 2.5 goals· close call
67%Leones Negros UDG, league games
40%Durango, league games
57%league
Leones Negros UDG Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home
34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
47%Leones Negros UDG, league games
27%Durango, league games
37%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
73%Leones Negros UDG, league games
33%Durango, league games
58%league
Leones Negros UDG BTTS (GG) in 5 straight at home
54%Leones Negros UDG win· close call
54%Leones Negros UDG
24%Draw
21%Durango

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Leones Negros UDG vs Durango (Liga de Expansión, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Leones Negros UDG 54%, the draw 24% and Durango 21%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Leones Negros UDG

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)67%
Home (7)86%
Away (8)50%
Home games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.61.7
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 86%

Durango

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)40%
Home (7)71%
Away (8)13%
Away games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.60.8
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 3 · both scored in 13%

Latest results

Leones Negros UDG

1 NovHTepatitlán LigExpW3–1
25 OctAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpW0–2
18 OctHAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpL1–2
11 OctAVenados FC LigExpD1–1
4 OctHDorados LigExpW6–3
26 SeptACruz Azul Hidalgo LigExpW1–2

Durango

1 NovHMonarcas LigExpW3–1
25 OctAVenados FC LigExpL3–2
18 OctHTapatío LigExpW5–0
11 OctACDS Tampico Madero LigExpD0–0
4 OctHMineros de Zacatecas LigExpW4–2
27 SeptADorados LigExpW0–1

First and second half

This gameLeones Negros UDGDurangoLeague
Goal in the 1st half74%78%68%75%
Goal in the 2nd half80%80%74%81%
Goal in both halves58%62%50%62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Leones Negros UDG: last 50 games, Durango: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Aug 26Durango 1–2 Leones Negros UDGO2.5
8 Feb 23Leones Negros UDG 1–0 DurangoU2.5
18 Aug 22Durango 1–0 Leones Negros UDGU2.5

More: Leones Negros UDG season stats · Durango season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.