Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga de Expansión · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: prediction and stats

81%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
93%CA La Paz, league games
100%Tlaxcala, league games
79%league
CA La Paz Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
Tlaxcala Over 1.5 in 8 straight away
59%Over 2.5 goals· likely
80%CA La Paz, league games
67%Tlaxcala, league games
57%league
CA La Paz Over 2.5 in 5 straight at home
CA La Paz Over 2.5 in 10 consecutive matches (all venues)
40%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
53%CA La Paz, league games
67%Tlaxcala, league games
37%league
60%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
67%CA La Paz, league games
73%Tlaxcala, league games
58%league
60%CA La Paz win· likely
60%CA La Paz
21%Draw
19%Tlaxcala

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga de Expansión, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with CA La Paz 60%, the draw 21% and Tlaxcala 19%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

CA La Paz

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)80%
Home (8)63%
Away (7)100%
Home games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.90.9
Won 4 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Tlaxcala

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)67%
Home (7)71%
Away (8)63%
Away games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.42.0
Won 1 · drew 4 · lost 3 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

CA La Paz

31 OctHDorados LigExpW3–0
25 OctACDS Tampico Madero LigExpW1–3
17 OctHTlaxcala LigExpD2–2
10 OctATapatío LigExpW2–4
3 OctHVenados FC LigExpL1–2
25 SeptAAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpW1–3

Tlaxcala

31 OctACruz Azul Hidalgo LigExpW0–2
25 OctHCorrecaminos Uat LigExpW2–0
17 OctACA La Paz LigExpD2–2
10 OctHPiratas LigExpW4–2
4 OctAMonarcas LigExpD1–1
26 SeptHCancún LigExpW4–1

First and second half

This gameCA La PazTlaxcalaLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%80%76%75%
Goal in the 2nd half81%80%84%81%
Goal in both halves64%64%66%62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. CA La Paz: last 50 games, Tlaxcala: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

17 Oct 26CA La Paz 2–2 TlaxcalaO2.5
8 Mar 26CA La Paz 2–0 TlaxcalaU2.5
28 Sept 25Tlaxcala 3–3 CA La PazO2.5
11 Jan 25CA La Paz 4–4 TlaxcalaO2.5
28 Jul 24Tlaxcala 0–2 CA La PazU2.5
17 Feb 24Tlaxcala 2–3 CA La PazO2.5

More: CA La Paz season stats · Tlaxcala season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.