Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 16:15 UK

Auxerre vs Paris FC: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

73%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

88%Auxerre, league games

63%Paris FC, league games

73%league

52%Under 2.5 goals· close call

25%Auxerre, league games

38%Paris FC, league games

43%league

29%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

63%Auxerre, league games

25%Paris FC, league games

37%league

51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

88%Auxerre, league games

50%Paris FC, league games

54%league

37%Auxerre win· close call

37%Auxerre

31%Draw

33%Paris FC

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Auxerre vs Paris FC (Ligue 1, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Auxerre 37%, the draw 31% and Paris FC 33%.

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Form this season

Auxerre

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)75%

Home (4)50%

Away (4)100%

Home games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.3	1.3

Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 75%

Paris FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)63%

Home (4)75%

Away (4)50%

Away games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.0	1.3

Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Auxerre

25 OctHLe Mans Ligue1D1–1

18 OctALe Havre Ligue1W1–3

11 OctARennes Ligue1L4–1

20 SeptHStade Brestois 29 Ligue1W2–1

12 SeptHNice Ligue1W1–0

4 SeptALyon Ligue1L3–1

Paris FC

24 OctALens Ligue1L2–1

18 OctHRennes Ligue1W4–3

10 OctALorient Ligue1L1–0

19 SeptHStrasbourg Ligue1W2–1

12 SeptHLyon Ligue1D0–0

6 SeptAMarseille Ligue1W2–3

First and second half

	This game	Auxerre	Paris FC	League
Goal in the 1st half	68%	66%	66%	70%
Goal in the 2nd half	78%	76%	74%	79%
Goal in both halves	54%	52%	52%	57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Auxerre: last 50 games, Paris FC: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Feb 26Auxerre 0–0 Paris FCU2.5

29 Nov 25Paris FC 1–1 AuxerreU2.5

4 May 24Auxerre 2–0 Paris FCU2.5

7 Oct 23Paris FC 0–2 AuxerreU2.5

1 Feb 22Auxerre 1–2 Paris FCO2.5

16 Aug 21Paris FC 1–1 AuxerreU2.5

More: Auxerre season stats · Paris FC season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.