Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Ligue 2 · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:00 UK

Montpellier vs Metz: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

73%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

60%Montpellier, league games

82%Metz, league games

68%league

52%Under 2.5 goals· close call

70%Montpellier, league games

45%Metz, league games

50%league

27%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

10%Montpellier, league games

45%Metz, league games

30%league

51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

40%Montpellier, league games

82%Metz, league games

55%league

Metz BTTS (GG) in 5 consecutive matches (all venues)

47%Montpellier win· close call

47%Montpellier

28%Draw

25%Metz

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Montpellier vs Metz (Ligue 2, Friday, 6 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Montpellier 47%, the draw 28% and Metz 25%.

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Form this season

Montpellier

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (10)30%

Home (5)20%

Away (5)40%

Home games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.2	0.4

Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 40%

Metz

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (11)55%

Home (6)83%

Away (5)20%

Away games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.4

Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Montpellier

26 OctHRED Star FC 93 Ligue2W2–1

19 OctARodez Ligue2W0–3

9 OctHGrenoble Ligue2W2–0

18 SeptAReims Ligue2D1–1

11 SeptHPAU Ligue2W1–0

5 SeptASaint Etienne Ligue2L3–1

Metz

30 OctHPAU Ligue2L1–3

23 OctADunkerque Ligue2D1–1

17 OctHSochaux Ligue2W3–2

12 OctADijon Ligue2L4–2

19 SeptHSaint Etienne Ligue2D2–2

14 SeptARED Star FC 93 Ligue2L1–0

First and second half

	This game	Montpellier	Metz	League
Goal in the 1st half	64%	58%	64%	67%
Goal in the 2nd half	75%	72%	80%	75%
Goal in both halves	49%	38%	56%	51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Montpellier: last 50 games, Metz: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

11 Jan 26Metz 0–4 MontpellierO2.5

18 Feb 24Montpellier 3–0 MetzO2.5

17 Dec 23Metz 0–1 MontpellierU2.5

1 May 22Montpellier 2–2 MetzO2.5

1 Dec 21Metz 1–3 MontpellierO2.5

More: Montpellier season stats · Metz season stats · Ligue 2 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.