Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga de Expansión · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Venados FC vs Monarcas: prediction and stats

83%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
93%Venados FC, league games
80%Monarcas, league games
79%league
Venados FC Over 1.5 in 9 straight at home
Monarcas Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
61%Over 2.5 goals· likely
73%Venados FC, league games
60%Monarcas, league games
57%league
40%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
47%Venados FC, league games
33%Monarcas, league games
37%league
64%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
80%Venados FC, league games
73%Monarcas, league games
58%league
Venados FC BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home
Monarcas BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away
Monarcas BTTS (GG) in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)
54%Venados FC win· close call
54%Venados FC
21%Draw
24%Monarcas

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Venados FC vs Monarcas (Liga de Expansión, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with Venados FC 54%, the draw 21% and Monarcas 24%.

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Form this season

Venados FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)73%
Home (7)86%
Away (8)63%
Home games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game3.01.1
Won 6 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 71%

Monarcas

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)60%
Home (7)71%
Away (8)50%
Away games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.11.1
Won 4 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 63%

Latest results

Venados FC

31 OctACorrecaminos Uat LigExpD0–0
25 OctHDurango LigExpW3–2
18 OctACancún LigExpD1–1
11 OctHLeones Negros UDG LigExpD1–1
3 OctACA La Paz LigExpW1–2
27 SeptHMonarcas LigExpW2–1

Monarcas

1 NovADurango LigExpL3–1
25 OctATapatío LigExpW1–2
18 OctHCDS Tampico Madero LigExpL1–2
10 OctATepatitlán LigExpD1–1
4 OctHTlaxcala LigExpD1–1
27 SeptAVenados FC LigExpL2–1

First and second half

This gameVenados FCMonarcasLeague
Goal in the 1st half74%78%70%75%
Goal in the 2nd half83%88%84%81%
Goal in both halves64%68%62%62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Venados FC: last 50 games, Monarcas: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 Sept 26Venados FC 2–1 MonarcasO2.5
15 Feb 26Monarcas 2–1 Venados FCO2.5
5 Sept 25Venados FC 2–2 MonarcasO2.5
3 Mar 25Monarcas 1–0 Venados FCU2.5
14 Sept 24Venados FC 2–1 MonarcasO2.5
29 Mar 24Monarcas 3–4 Venados FCO2.5

More: Venados FC season stats · Monarcas season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.