Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga de Expansión · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: prediction and stats

84%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Tlaxcala, league games
93%CA La Paz, league games
79%league
Tlaxcala Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
CA La Paz Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
64%Over 2.5 goals· likely
67%Tlaxcala, league games
80%CA La Paz, league games
57%league
CA La Paz Over 2.5 in 7 straight away
CA La Paz Over 2.5 in 10 consecutive matches (all venues)
45%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
67%Tlaxcala, league games
53%CA La Paz, league games
37%league
CA La Paz Over 3.5 in 4 straight away
65%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
73%Tlaxcala, league games
67%CA La Paz, league games
58%league
CA La Paz BTTS (GG) in 5 straight away
43%CA La Paz win· close call
35%Tlaxcala
21%Draw
43%CA La Paz

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz (Liga de Expansión, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with Tlaxcala 35%, the draw 21% and CA La Paz 43%.

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Form this season

Tlaxcala

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)67%
Home (7)71%
Away (8)63%
Home games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.61.6
Won 5 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 71%

CA La Paz

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)80%
Home (8)63%
Away (7)100%
Away games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game3.01.6
Won 5 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 86%

Latest results

Tlaxcala

31 OctACruz Azul Hidalgo LigExpW0–2
25 OctHCorrecaminos Uat LigExpW2–0
17 OctACA La Paz LigExpD2–2
10 OctHPiratas LigExpW4–2
4 OctAMonarcas LigExpD1–1
26 SeptHCancún LigExpW4–1

CA La Paz

31 OctHDorados LigExpW3–0
25 OctACDS Tampico Madero LigExpW1–3
17 OctHTlaxcala LigExpD2–2
10 OctATapatío LigExpW2–4
3 OctHVenados FC LigExpL1–2
25 SeptAAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpW1–3

First and second half

This gameTlaxcalaCA La PazLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%76%80%75%
Goal in the 2nd half81%84%80%81%
Goal in both halves64%66%64%62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Tlaxcala: last 50 games, CA La Paz: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

17 Oct 26CA La Paz 2–2 TlaxcalaO2.5
8 Mar 26CA La Paz 2–0 TlaxcalaU2.5
28 Sept 25Tlaxcala 3–3 CA La PazO2.5
11 Jan 25CA La Paz 4–4 TlaxcalaO2.5
28 Jul 24Tlaxcala 0–2 CA La PazU2.5
17 Feb 24Tlaxcala 2–3 CA La PazO2.5

More: Tlaxcala season stats · CA La Paz season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.