Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Liga de Expansión · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Durango vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

60%Durango, league games

100%Leones Negros UDG, league games

79%league

Durango Over 1.5 in 8 straight at home

Leones Negros UDG Over 1.5 in 10 straight away

56%Over 2.5 goals· likely

40%Durango, league games

67%Leones Negros UDG, league games

57%league

Durango Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home

37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

27%Durango, league games

47%Leones Negros UDG, league games

37%league

Durango Over 3.5 in 3 straight at home

59%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

33%Durango, league games

73%Leones Negros UDG, league games

58%league

41%Durango win· close call

41%Durango

24%Draw

35%Leones Negros UDG

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Durango vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga de Expansión, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Durango 41%, the draw 24% and Leones Negros UDG 35%.

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Form this season

Durango

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)40%

Home (7)71%

Away (8)13%

Home games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.3	1.3

Won 4 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 57%

Leones Negros UDG

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)67%

Home (7)86%

Away (8)50%

Away games (8)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.0	1.0

Won 6 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 63%

Latest results

Durango

1 NovHMonarcas LigExpW3–1

25 OctAVenados FC LigExpL3–2

18 OctHTapatío LigExpW5–0

11 OctACDS Tampico Madero LigExpD0–0

4 OctHMineros de Zacatecas LigExpW4–2

27 SeptADorados LigExpW0–1

Leones Negros UDG

1 NovHTepatitlán LigExpW3–1

25 OctAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpW0–2

18 OctHAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpL1–2

11 OctAVenados FC LigExpD1–1

4 OctHDorados LigExpW6–3

26 SeptACruz Azul Hidalgo LigExpW1–2

First and second half

	This game	Durango	Leones Negros UDG	League
Goal in the 1st half	74%	68%	78%	75%
Goal in the 2nd half	80%	74%	80%	81%
Goal in both halves	58%	50%	62%	62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Durango: last 50 games, Leones Negros UDG: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Aug 26Durango 1–2 Leones Negros UDGO2.5

8 Feb 23Leones Negros UDG 1–0 DurangoU2.5

18 Aug 22Durango 1–0 Leones Negros UDGU2.5

More: Durango season stats · Leones Negros UDG season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.