Ratings updated 09:53 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga de Expansión · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Cancún vs Piratas: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
87%Cancún, league games
80%Piratas, league games
79%league
Piratas Over 1.5 in 7 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
53%Cancún, league games
53%Piratas, league games
57%league
Piratas Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
40%Cancún, league games
27%Piratas, league games
37%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
47%Cancún, league games
40%Piratas, league games
58%league
64%Cancún win· likely
64%Cancún
21%Draw
14%Piratas

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Cancún vs Piratas (Liga de Expansión, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Cancún 64%, the draw 21% and Piratas 14%.

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Form this season

Cancún

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)53%
Home (8)38%
Away (7)71%
Home games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.00.6
Won 5 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 25%

Piratas

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (15)53%
Home (7)57%
Away (8)50%
Away games (8)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.4
Won 2 · drew 3 · lost 3 · both scored in 38%

Latest results

Cancún

1 NovHCDS Tampico Madero LigExpW2–0
24 OctATepatitlán LigExpW0–4
18 OctHVenados FC LigExpD1–1
11 OctAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpD2–2
4 OctHTapatío LigExpW1–0
26 SeptATlaxcala LigExpL4–1

Piratas

1 NovHTapatío LigExpD1–1
25 OctADorados LigExpW0–5
18 OctHTepatitlán LigExpW3–0
10 OctATlaxcala LigExpL4–2
4 OctHAlebrijes de Oaxaca LigExpW4–0
25 SeptAMineros de Zacatecas LigExpL3–0

First and second half

This gameCancúnPiratasLeague
Goal in the 1st half74%74%73%75%
Goal in the 2nd half78%76%67%81%
Goal in both halves58%54%47%62%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Cancún: last 50 games, Piratas: last 15 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Aug 26Piratas 0–1 CancúnU2.5

More: Cancún season stats · Piratas season stats · Liga de Expansión table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.