Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 19:45 UK
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
1.33price
73%bookmaker
73%league
+4Diff, pts
Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 22% · bookmaker 27% · 3.40
Stade Brestois 29 Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· no prediction: against the bookmaker's side
2.00price
47%bookmaker
57%league
+7Diff, pts
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours 46% · bookmaker 53% · 1.80
No prediction: we back the side the bookmaker rates as the outsider here, and calls like this have come in about 45% of the time, close to the bookmaker's figure rather than ours. Not a tip either way.
35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
3.50price
25%bookmaker
37%league
+10Diff, pts
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 65% · bookmaker 75% · 1.30
54%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
1.75price
54%bookmaker
54%league
+1Diff, pts
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours 46% · bookmaker 46% · 2.00
Stade Brestois 29 BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away
51%Lorient win· close call
51%Lorient2.45 · bookmaker 39%
24%Draw3.20 · bookmaker 29%
25%Stade Brestois 293.00 · bookmaker 32%
Bookmaker chances have the margin removed. The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1, Monday, 2 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Lorient 51%, the draw 24% and Stade Brestois 29 25%.
Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).
This game = our chance. Lorient: last 50 games, Stade Brestois 29: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
Head to head
7 Feb 26Stade Brestois 29 2–0 LorientU2.5
19 Oct 25Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois 29O2.5
31 Mar 24Lorient 0–1 Stade Brestois 29U2.5
20 Dec 23Stade Brestois 29 4–0 LorientO2.5
7 May 23Lorient 2–1 Stade Brestois 29O2.5
9 Oct 22Stade Brestois 29 1–2 LorientO2.5
Things worth knowing
No prediction on over/under 2.5: our call would go against the bookmaker (backing the side they rate as the outsider), and calls like that have come in at about the bookmaker's figure rather than ours. Our figures stay on the page. Not a tip either way.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
About the odds
Market
Price
Bookmaker %
Our chance
Diff
Over 2.5 goals
2.00
47%
54%
+7
Under 2.5 goals
1.80
53%
46%
-7
Both teams to score
1.75
54%
54%
+1
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:04 UK time on Fri 30 Oct, and move all the time.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.