Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 24% · bookmaker 16% · 5.00
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours 48% · bookmaker 37% · 2.50
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 68% · bookmaker 61% · 1.57
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours 49% · bookmaker 48% · 1.95
Bookmaker chances have the margin removed. The model reads goals, not team news.
CompactStats rates Lyon vs Angers (Ligue 1, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Lyon 67%, the draw 20% and Angers 13%.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| This game | Lyon | Angers | League | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 70% | 66% | 70% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 74% | 68% | 79% |
| Goal in both halves | 52% | 54% | 44% | 57% |
Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).
This game = our chance. Lyon: last 50 games, Angers: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
More: Lyon season stats · Angers season stats · Ligue 1 table and form
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 63% | 52% | -11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 37% | 48% | +11 |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 52% | 51% | -2 |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:03 UK time on Thu 29 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.