Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 29% · 3.00
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 58% · 1.65
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 80% · 1.22
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours – · bookmaker 54% · 1.75
We hold fewer than three of one side’s league games this season, so we don’t rate this tie. Bookmaker chances have the margin removed.
CompactStats makes no goals pick on Numancia vs Oviedo (Copa del Rey, Thursday, 29 October 2026): there is not enough of this season's league data for one side yet.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
More: Oviedo season stats · Copa del Rey fixtures
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 42% | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 58% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 | 46% | – | – |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 09:04 UK time on Thu 29 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.