Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 14% · 5.50
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 36% · 2.50
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours – · bookmaker 58% · 1.62
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours – · bookmaker 55% · 1.70
We hold fewer than three of one side’s league games this season, so we don’t rate this tie. Bookmaker chances have the margin removed.
CompactStats makes no goals pick on Covadonga vs Valladolid (Copa del Rey, Thursday, 29 October 2026): there is not enough of this season's league data for one side yet.
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
More: Valladolid season stats · Copa del Rey fixtures
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 64% | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 36% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 2.05 | 45% | – | – |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 21:04 UK time on Wed 28 Oct, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.